The last time the Houston Texans visited Arrowhead Stadium, they had a 24-point lead in the second quarter of their divisional playoffs meeting.
It didn’t matter. Kansas City answered by outscoring Houston 51-7 in the next three quarters. Things have changed in the last few months, especially from Houston’s side.
When the Texans and Chiefs clash in the opening game of the 2020 season, things will feel a little weird. Kansas City will start the season as champs, and no fans will be in the stands.
The most normal thing we can do is bet on football.
Let’s break down this matchup.
Kansas City is -9.5 with a -110 standard value in the spread at MyBookie. If you are new in the betting world, the point spread can vary depending on the action to any of the two sides or an injury from a key player.
If you like the 9.5 number on either of the two teams, my advice is you grab it right now.
Kansas City is a massive money line favorite at -450, while Houston is +360 as the underdog. The game total is at 54 points.
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WHEN WILL THE TEXANS VS. CHIEFS MATCHUP BE?
- Date: Thursday, September 10, 2020 | 8:20 PM ET
- Venue: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
- TV: NBC
By betting the Texans in the spread, we would need Houston to win the game or lose by up to nine points to make the bet a winner. The Texans are the second biggest underdogs in the NFL week one.
Houston traded WR DeAndre Hopkins to Arizona in the offseason. They received massive criticism, notably their coach/GM Bill O’Brien. Hopkins had 1165 yards and seven touchdowns in 15 games last season. He posted 1000+ receiving yards in five of the seven seasons he played in Houston.
O’BRIEN WON’T ADMIT IT, BUT HE REALIZED HE MESSED UP
After the Hopkins trade, he signed WRs Brandin Cooks and Randall Cobb to give QB Deshaun Watson some weapons. Neither of the two is comparable to DeAndre.
Houston’s offense took a massive hit with the trade. Watson is a great quarterback, but they shipped his best weapon to the desert. I’m curious to see how they will move the ball early in the season, especially after a short training camp and no preseason.
The Chiefs won the Super Bowl last season and decided to give new contracts to everybody. HC Andy Reid, DT Chris Jones, and especially QB Patrick Mahomes received massive extensions.
Kansas City will bring back most of the team that won Super Bowl 54 in Miami. Guards Stefen Wisniewski, Laurent Duvernay-Tardif, and RB Damien Williams will be the most significant absences.
THE CHIEFS NEED TO WIN BY 10+ POINTS IF YOU BET THEM IN THE SPREAD
You can also take them in the money line at -450, but that’s a lot of money to lay down.
We know the Chiefs offense is as explosive as any that we have seen in recent years. They averaged 39.0 points per game during the playoffs, and Patrick Mahomes is the biggest responsible for their success.
Unlike Houston, the Chiefs shouldn’t find a lot of problems on offense. Most of the unit know each other well. They might be even more explosive in 2020 with the addition of the first-round RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire from LSU.
Kansas City is the best team out of the two. The gap between the two got even wider with the moves each organization made during the offseason.
Now, let’s be honest. The 9.5 number in the spread is a little high. The offseason has been unusual as teams haven’t practiced as much as in previous years. I’m expecting both teams to show a little rust on the offensive side. Kansas City less than Houston for obvious reasons.
The total seems high at 54 points. The oddsmakers set that number so high, mostly because of what Kansas City showed last year. But starting a season, it’s different. Teams are not in sync, especially with such a weird stretch of events over the last six months.
I’m taking UNDER 54 points as my bet.
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